Pegula J. vs Świątek I. Prediction by Liza Hysong

Jessica Pegula enters this match with a mixed run of form. She has won three of her last five matches, including a hard-fought three-set victory over Amanda Anisimova (2-1) and a straight-sets win against Emma Navarro (2-0). However, she suffered a surprising defeat to Diana Shnaider (0-2) and had a tight three-setter against Sorana Cîrstea (2-1). Pegula's serving has been solid, with a first-serve percentage around 63-73% in recent matches, but her second-serve points won have been inconsistent (32-55%). She has shown resilience in saving break points (42-88% in recent matches) and has been aggressive on return, converting multiple break points. Key stats: in her last win over Anisimova, she won 56% of service points and 55% of return points, showcasing her all-court game.

Iga Świątek is in outstanding form, having won her last four completed matches, with only one unfinished match against Rybakina (4-1 in the first set when it was abandoned). She has been dominant, dropping just one set in her last five matches (against Sakkari, winning 2-1). Świątek's serving has been reliable, with first-serve percentages between 61-80%, and she has been particularly strong on second serve, winning 52-73% of those points. Her return game is exceptional, converting 4-5 break points in several matches and winning a high percentage of first-serve return points (30-60%). In her recent straight-sets win over Rybakina, she won 76% of first-serve points and 56% of second-serve points, while saving all break points faced. She also displayed mental toughness in the three-set battle against Sakkari, saving 87% of break points.