This USL Championship clash sees El Paso Locomotive FC host Sporting Jax. CheckLive favours the home side with a 69% win probability and a strong signal, but this is a league match where a draw remains a live possibility. There are no specific round stakes beyond the regular-season points on offer.
El Paso Locomotive FC come in with mixed form: they lost 0-1 to FC Tulsa, 0-2 to New Mexico United, beat Las Vegas Lights 2-1, then lost 0-1 to Monterey Bay FC and drew 1-1 with Phoenix Rising FC. Sporting Jax have had a similarly uneven run: draws with Brooklyn FC (2-2) and Loudoun United FC (2-2), a win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds (2-1), a heavy friendly loss to Austin FC (0-4), and a defeat at Charleston Battery (2-5).
There is no head-to-head history between these sides, so this is a first meeting. With both teams showing inconsistency, the key question is whether El Paso can impose their home advantage against a Sporting Jax side that has struggled defensively but managed to share points in two of their last five.

