France won 1-0 in Brussels, and the numbers back it up. They had the ball, the shots and the clearer openings, and Belgium never really got a grip on the game.
8.1Désiré DouéFrance · Forward5 shots · 4 key passes · 0.21 xGBelgium 0:1 France — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half0 - 0
- 42(Yellow card)
Second half0 - 1
- 57(Yellow card)
- 66(Yellow card)
- 85M. Fernandez-Pardo
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
DrawLost2.30
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT0–1B
−17.5Dominant
F
Draw
LostQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of Belgium vs France?
Belgium 0-1 France (UEFA Nations League).
Who scored?
Michael Olise (88', assist Rayan Cherki) for France.
Was France's win deserved?
Yes — France were on top for most of the match.
Were there any cards in Belgium vs France?
Yellow cards: Diego Moreira (Belgium); Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium); Youri Tielemans (Belgium).
Head to Head meetings
Belgium – France
Belgium
France
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 4
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 4  |
Scored goals | 1 | 6 |
Average per game | 0.25 | 1.5 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0-2 |
Belgium
France
Best statistical picks
Belgium – France
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
France opened the score in 8 of the last 10 matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
Match betting activity
$3.8M
Betting volume15.3K
bets- Double chance: 1XLost · 10.8% of bets$1.6M1,646 bets
- France to winWon · 33.5% of bets$645.2K5,132 bets
- Belgium to winLost · 5.6% of bets$366.9K850 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — France
France is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 63.2 vs 61.2 for Belgium. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 81.6 vs 75.4). CheckLive signal strength 55/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Belgium, so the edge is thin.
Under 2.52.35
Medium confidence55%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
58.6
60.9
CheckSkill
56.9
56.9
CheckMental
75.4
81.6
CheckLive total61.2 vs 63.2+2.0
More match signals
Both teams to score — No56%2.38
Belgium (DNB)55%3.00
Under 1.555%5.00
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · only the model pick won
CHECKLIVE · WonUnder 2.52.35
Betting pick · LostDouble chance: 1X11% of bets · $1.6M
Exact score · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 0expected score
Betting pick · Won0 : 110% of bets · $2.5K
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Belgium vs France?
On CheckLive metrics France rate higher: 63.2 vs 61.2, CheckLive signal strength 55/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Belgium, so the edge is thin.
What is France's main edge?
France is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 81.6 vs 75.4 for Belgium. The overall rating gap is 2.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-0 (Belgium vs France, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.80 |