This is an A Lyga meeting between FK Žalgiris and FK Banga Gargždai, with league points at stake. CheckLive favour the home side, giving Žalgiris a 61% win probability, with a strong signal behind that read. That still leaves real room for a draw or an away result.
Žalgiris have alternated results across their last five: a 2-5 loss to Hajduk Split, a 7-2 win over Dinamo Tbilisi, a 3-2 win over FC Hegelmann, a 0-3 loss to Dinamo Tbilisi and a 3-1 win over FK Transinvest. Banga Gargždai have won three of their last five, beating Šiauliai FA 3-1, FK Transinvest 3-1 and FC Hegelmann 2-0, with losses to FK Sūduva Marijampolė and Džiugas Telšiai.
The head-to-head shows eight previous meetings, with Žalgiris winning four, drawing two and losing two. The most recent meeting, in June, went to Banga Gargždai, who won 3-0 in this competition. The key thing to watch is whether Žalgiris can break down a side that beat them last time and arrives with three wins from five.
