The saved CheckLive prematch calculation favours Leeds United. Confidence describes model signal strength.
Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction & Live Score
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
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Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH PREVIEWQuestions & Answers
Who will win, Chelsea vs Leeds United?
CheckLive's model makes Leeds United the favourite, with a 58% win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Chelsea 1:2 Leeds United.
When is Chelsea vs Leeds United?
Kick-off Wednesday 9 September at 20:00 UK time, in the EFL Cup, Round 3.
Head to Head meetings Chelsea - Leeds United
- Matches10
- The biggest draw2-2
- The most effective match3-2
Chelsea
Leeds United
- 6
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  6 | 2  |
Scored goals | 17 | 13 |
Average per game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
The biggest victory | 3-0 | 0-3 |
Chelsea
Leeds United
Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
No data
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Leeds United
Leeds reached Stamford Bridge unbeaten in five, with the sharper recent record and the stronger mental edge — and they stunned Chelsea 3-1 at Elland Road in the league last December. CheckLive's read leans toward the visitors in normal time, a decisive 1-2 outcome.
Over 2.51.67
Medium confidence58%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
45.8
57.3
CheckSkill
52.7
55.8
CheckMental
43.3
73.2
CheckLive total48.4 vs 59.8+11.4
More match signals
Away win — Leeds United68%4.50
Leeds United (DNB)67%3.50
Leeds United (−1)50%
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Can Leeds United beat Chelsea in the EFL Cup?
Leeds can and our read favours them. They arrive unbeaten in five with three wins, while Chelsea leaned on a 58% signal and looks slightly less stable.
Which team has the better recent form?
Leeds United have the better recent form, conceding only two goals in their last five matches across the Premier League, EFL Cup and a friendly.
Will both teams score in this EFL Cup tie?
Yes, likely. Chelsea scored in all five recent games, Leeds have attacking threat, and their past meetings averaged three goals per match.
- Matches0
- The biggest draw0
- The most effective match0
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|