Millwall host Wrexham in a Championship fixture. CheckLive's model makes Millwall the favourites with a 76% win probability and a strong signal, but that still leaves a realistic chance of a draw or an away win.
Millwall's recent form is mixed but mostly positive: they lost 5-1 at Southampton, but before that beat Cambridge United 1-0, Norwich City 3-0, Bristol City 2-0 and Queens Park Rangers 3-1. Wrexham, in contrast, have gone winless in five, drawing 1-1 with Watford and Cardiff City and losing 1-2 to Birmingham City, 0-1 to Middlesbrough and 0-1 to Sunderland.
The head-to-head is evenly split: Millwall have one win and one loss from two meetings with Wrexham, the most recent of which finished 0-2. With Wrexham winless in five and Millwall having won four of their last five, the key thing to watch is whether Wrexham's defence can hold out or whether Millwall's momentum carries the day.
