NK Slaven Belupo welcome NK Lokomotiva Zagreb for a 1. HNL meeting with league points on the line. CheckLive's numbers favour the away side, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at 69% win probability with a high signal, but that is not a lock — the remaining probability leaves real room for a Slaven Belupo win or a draw.
Slaven Belupo have lost four of their last five matches, beaten 0-3 by NK Osijek, 0-3 by NK Istra 1961, 1-4 by NK Varaždin and 0-2 by GNK Dinamo Zagreb, with their only victory a 2-0 win over HNK Gorica. Lokomotiva Zagreb have won two of their last five — 3-1 against HNK Gorica and 3-2 against NK Istra 1961 — but also lost 0-2 to HNK Hajduk Split, 1-4 to NK Rudeš and 0-1 to NK Osijek.
The head-to-head record favours the home side: Slaven Belupo have won four of the eight previous meetings against Lokomotiva Zagreb, with one draw and three losses. The most recent meeting, though, went to Lokomotiva 2-1 in April 2026. With the visitors arriving as CheckLive's favourite but the home side holding a real edge in this fixture, the key is whether Slaven Belupo can lift their recent league form, and a draw is a live possibility.
