This is an early-season Serie A meeting and Udinese have home advantage against Lazio. CheckLive's model favours the visitors but only narrowly, with a 53% signal strength — a low reading that points to a close contest. With much in the balance, a draw is genuinely on the table.
Udinese are unbeaten in their last five across all competitions, winning four and drawing one. They beat Venezia 2-1 in the Coppa Italia, won 3-2 away at Monza in Serie A, drew 1-1 with Como, edged Padova 1-0 in the Coppa Italia and beat Barcelona 1-0 in a friendly. Lazio have four wins and one defeat in the same span, including 1-0 Serie A victories at home to Genoa and away to Bologna, friendlies against Frosinone and Ostia Mare, and a 0-2 home loss to Mantova in the Coppa Italia.
The eight most recent meetings between these sides are evenly balanced, with two wins each and four draws. The last one ended 3-3 at Lazio in April, while the previous meeting at Udinese finished 1-1. With the model's signal low at 53%, the key question is whether Udinese's unbeaten run can hold against Lazio's solid Serie A form, especially given how often this fixture has ended level.
