This is a Coppa Italia Round of 32 tie between Udinese and Venezia, with a place in the last 16 at stake. CheckLive has no clear favourite here, which tells you how evenly matched these two look on paper. With no win probability edge to call on, this genuinely feels like a coin-flip tie where a draw and extra time are very much part of the conversation.
Udinese come in with three wins, a draw and a loss from their last five, including a 1-0 Coppa Italia victory over Padova and a 1-1 Serie A draw with Como. Venezia's recent run is more mixed — a 3-2 Coppa Italia win over Modena is the bright spot, but they have lost to Milan and Lecce in Serie A and shipped four at Saint-Étienne in a friendly, so their form is harder to read.
The head-to-head favours Udinese, who have won three of the four meetings against Venezia, including a 3-2 Serie A victory in February 2025. But that counts for little in a one-off cup tie. Watch whether Venezia can tighten up defensively after conceding twice in each of their last two league games, and whether Udinese carry their friendly momentum into a competitive knockout.
