Who is the favourite in Sassuolo vs Lazio?

In the CheckLive calculation Lazio is the favourite: 62.2 vs 40.2 + 5.8 for home advantage = 46. Signal strength 71/100; it is not a win probability.

What is Lazio's main edge?

Lazio is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 79.6 vs 28.6 for Sassuolo. The overall rating gap is 16.2.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 0-2 (Sassuolo vs Lazio, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

Sassuolo

27.10.2026 17:30

GOAL!2 - 6FT

Lazio

Player of the match

9.0Mattia ZaccagniLazio · Forward1 goal · 4 shots · 3 key passes · 1.22 xG

Sassuolo 2:6 Lazio — Match Report

First half2 - 4

Second half0 - 2

CheckMomentumResult

Match dominance

Sassuolo

even

Lazio

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · both picks won

CHECKLIVE · WonAway win — Lazio2.15

Public pick · WonLazio to win595 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost0 : 2expected score

Public pick · Lost1 : 243 bets

AICheckLive AI Bot

Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

Ask the AI bot about this match

H2H

Head to Head meetings

Sassuolo – Lazio

Sassuolo

Lazio

3
Victories
2
Draws
7
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	3	7
Scored goals	12	21
Average per game	1	1.75
The biggest victory	2-0	2-6

Form

Sassuolo

5Matches
6Goals
1.2Goal per game
0Wins
1Draws
4Losses

date	first team	second team
27.10, 17:30
27.10, 17:30	Sassuolo	Lazio
24.10, 13:00
24.10, 13:00	Como	Sassuolo
16.10, 18:45
16.10, 18:45	Frosinone	Sassuolo
11.10, 16:00
11.10, 16:00	Sassuolo	Milan
18.09, 18:45
18.09, 18:45	Monza	Sassuolo

Lazio

5Matches
17Goals
3.4Goal per game
4Wins
1Draws
0Losses

date	first team	second team
27.10, 17:30
27.10, 17:30	Sassuolo	Lazio
24.10, 18:45
24.10, 18:45	Lazio	Parma
18.10, 18:45
18.10, 18:45	Juventus	Lazio
11.10, 13:00
11.10, 13:00	Lazio	Monza
03.10, 13:00
03.10, 13:00	Lazio	Juve Stabia

Standings

Sassuolo – Lazio

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	25	W W W W
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	8	D L L L

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
2	Lazio	9	+15	25
15	Sassuolo	9	-8	8

Odds

1	X	2
3.50	3.50	2.05

Questions & Answers

Who bet on what before the match

Public22.10

Money22.10

Pros—no bets

Timeline

66′
Goal — Lazio2:6
56′
Goal — Lazio2:5
45+1′
Goal — Lazio2:4
43′
Goal — Sassuolo2:3
31′
Red card — Sassuolo
16′
Goal — Lazio1:3
13′
Goal — Lazio1:2
8′
Goal — Sassuolo1:1
3′
Goal — Lazio0:1
2′
Surge in bets on Lazio
Public22.00 → 2.04
+29people in 2 min

Pros result

0 of 2 in profit

68′TildaROI −3%O 8.5, O 7.5−$297 48′PelleROI +20%2 (-2.5), 1 (+2.5), 1X−$159

Match betting activity

Full time

$652.6K

Betting volume

5.8K

bets

Lazio to win$242.3K1,230 bets
Double chance: 1X$48.1K449 bets
Under 8.5 goals$40.7K455 bets

Bets and money by outcome

Number of betsMoney staked

1X2

11%9%80%

3%2%95%

U 2.5O 2.5

31%69%

2%98%

1X12X2

55%13%32%

52%9%39%