This is a League Two meeting between Crawley Town and Crewe Alexandra, with CheckLive clearly favouring the away side. Crewe are given a 63% win probability on a high signal, but with a draw always a live option in a league game, nothing is certain. Both teams will be looking to build early momentum in the competition.
Crawley's recent results come largely from cup and friendly fixtures: a 0-1 defeat to Watford, a 2-0 win over York City, losses to Reading and Oxford United, and a 1-0 win against Eastleigh. Crewe beat Accrington Stanley 2-1, drew with Chester and Stoke City, lost 1-2 to Birmingham City, and thumped Telford United 3-0.
The head-to-head record is emphatically in Crewe's favour: eight meetings have brought Crawley one win, one draw and six defeats. The most recent, in League Two in February, ended 1-0 to Crewe. That history explains why Crewe are favourites, though Crawley's own wins show they can compete, and a draw would surprise no one.
