Columbus Crew host CF Montreal in an MLS fixture. CheckLive's numbers strongly favour the home side, giving Columbus a 79% win probability on a high-confidence signal, but that still leaves a draw or an away win as a live possibility. This is not a two-way contest, and Montreal will sense something to take from the game.
Columbus arrive in good form, having won four of their last five: 4-3 against Pumas UNAM, 2-1 at Pachuca and 3-1 against Atlas in the Leagues Cup, plus a 2-1 MLS win over FC Cincinnati, with a 2-2 draw against Inter Miami in between. Montreal have been harder to beat of late despite mixed results, drawing 2-2 with New England, losing 0-1 to both Inter Miami and Nashville, drawing 0-0 with Toronto, and winning 2-1 at Vancouver in the Canadian Championship.
The head-to-head record is comfortably in Columbus's favour: four wins, three draws and one defeat in eight meetings. The most recent encounter, in May, ended 1-1 in MLS. Given Columbus's strong recent scoring form and Montreal's tendency to keep games tight, the key question is whether the home side can break through early or get dragged into a scrappier contest.
