Southampton vs Crystal Palace Prediction Adam Hakanson Pro Tipster

Match venue
02.04.202508:45 PM
  • Premier League
  • Southampton (St. Mary's Stadium)
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AuthorAdam Hakanson
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Southampton

Southampton

The Premier League competition heats up as Southampton faces Crystal Palace in what promises to be a crucial match this April. Both teams enter this stage with contrasting form, making this an intriguing fixture in the league calendar. This comprehensive analysis examines current statistics, team dynamics, and provides a strategic betting answer for this upcoming match.

Current form

Southampton's recent form has been concerning, with the team struggling to perform at the level required to compete effectively in England's top championship. Their last five matches reveal a troubling pattern of defeats, suggesting significant challenges in both attacking and defensive departments. The home team has been unable to secure any points in their previous five league encounters, which places them in a difficult position for this year's campaign.

Recent matches:
• Loss: 1-2 vs Wolves (Home)
• Loss: 1-3 vs Liverpool (Away)
• Loss: 0-4 vs Chelsea (Away)
• Loss: 0-4 vs Brighton (Home)
• Loss: 1-3 vs Bournemouth (Home)

Key players and injuries

Southampton is facing several injury concerns that could impact their ability to field their strongest lineup. James Bree, Ross Stewart, Ryan Fraser, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, and Will Smallbone are all listed as doubtful for the match. These injury issues arrive at a critical stage of the season and may significantly affect Southampton's tactical approach.

The team will likely rely on Tyler Dibling's creativity in attack, while Paul Onuachu and Kamaldeen Sulemana will be tasked with scoring responsibilities. Their ability to convert limited opportunities could be decisive in determining the match result.

Position in the standings

Southampton's losing streak has placed them in a perilous position in the Premier League table. They find themselves engaged in a relegation battle, making every point crucial at this late stage of the season. Their home form has been particularly disappointing, with three consecutive defeats at St. Mary's Stadium, a venue where they historically performed well in previous seasons.

Strengths and weaknesses

Southampton's primary strength lies in their counter-attacking abilities, particularly through the pace of Sulemana on the wings. They can be dangerous when allowed space to exploit on transition. Additionally, Onuachu provides an aerial threat that could trouble Palace's defense from set-pieces.

However, their weaknesses are more pronounced, having conceded 16 goals in their last five matches. This defensive fragility represents a significant concern, especially against a Crystal Palace side that has been scoring consistently in recent games. Southampton's inability to maintain defensive discipline has been a major factor in their losing run.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Current form

Crystal Palace enters this fixture in considerably better form than their opponents. The visitors have demonstrated impressive consistency in recent weeks, securing three wins in their last five matches across all competitions. Their strong performances have positioned them as favorites for this encounter.

Recent matches:
• Win: 3-0 vs Fulham (FA Cup, Home)
• Win: 2-1 vs Ipswich Town (League, Home)
• Draw: 1-1 vs Brighton (League, Away)
• Loss: 0-2 vs Newcastle (League, Away)
• Win: 2-0 vs Leicester City (League, Home)

Key players and injuries

Crystal Palace has its own injury concerns to navigate. Chris Richards is expected to miss the match due to a calf problem, while Will Hughes is suspended after accumulating too many yellow cards. Long-term absentees Chadi Riad and Cheick Doucouré remain unavailable.

Despite these absences, Palace boasts quality throughout their squad. Eberechi Eze and Jean-Philippe Mateta have been in excellent form, with Mateta particularly impressive in front of goal. Their attacking partnership has been crucial to Palace's recent success and will likely be key against Southampton.

Position in the standings

Crystal Palace occupies a comfortable mid-table position, having established a good distance from the relegation zone. Their recent winning run has allowed them to look up rather than down in the table, with potential to finish the season on a high note. This relative stability contrasts sharply with Southampton's precarious league standing.

Strengths and weaknesses

Palace's main strength lies in their balanced approach under Oliver Glasner. They combine solid defensive organization with effective attacking play, particularly through the creativity of Eze and the finishing of Mateta. The midfield duo of Lerma and Wharton provides both defensive security and progressive passing.

The team's primary weakness could be their occasional inconsistency away from home, though their recent performances suggest this issue is being addressed. The absence of Will Hughes through suspension might affect their midfield balance, but they have adequate depth to manage this situation.

Head-to-head statistics (Recent Meetings)

The historical matchups between these two sides favor Crystal Palace, who have emerged victorious in four of the last five encounters across all competitions. This pattern suggests a psychological advantage for the visitors heading into this fixture.

This dominance in recent meetings adds another layer to Palace's confidence, while Southampton must overcome both poor current form and unfavorable head-to-head statistics. The two teams have demonstrated contrasting approaches in their recent battles, with Palace often taking control of matches through superior possession and tactical discipline.

Notable individual battles to watch include Onuachu against Guéhi, where physical strength meets defensive intelligence, and Sulemana against Mitchell, featuring speed and dribbling against positional awareness. These key matchups could determine which team gains the upper hand in crucial moments.

Betting Odds & Coefficients

The betting markets reflect Crystal Palace's superior form and Southampton's struggles, with most bookmakers favoring an away win. Current odds present interesting opportunities for strategic bets on this Premier League fixture.

Match Result (Home/Draw/Away):
• Southampton win: 3.40
• Draw: 3.30
• Crystal Palace win: 2.15

These odds clearly indicate that bookmakers view Crystal Palace as favorites, though not overwhelmingly so. The relatively high odds for a Southampton win reflect their poor form but acknowledge the unpredictability of football and the potential impact of home advantage.

Other Popular Markets:
• Over/Under 2.5 Goals: 1.90/1.95
• Both Teams to Score: 1.75/2.10
• Correct Score (Crystal Palace 2-1): 9.00

H2H statistics

  • Home team logo31% (4)
  • 31% (4)
  • Away team logo38% (5)
  • Matches13
  • The biggest draw2-2
  • The most effective match1-2

Victories

Home team logo

4

5

Away team logo

Scored goals

Home team logo

16

15

Away team logo

Average per game

Home team logo

1.23

1.15

Away team logo

The biggest victory

Home team logo

3-1

0-2

Away team logo
Southampton
Southampton
  • Wins4
  • Draws4
  • Losses5
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
  • Wins5
  • Draws4
  • Losses4
02.04.2025

Southampton

Premier League

Crystal Palace

29.12.2024

Crystal Palace

Premier League

Southampton

15.04.2023

Southampton

Premier League

Crystal Palace

07.01.2023

Crystal Palace

FA Cup

Southampton

29.10.2022

Crystal Palace

Premier League

Southampton

30.04.2022

Southampton

Premier League

Crystal Palace

15.12.2021

Crystal Palace

Premier League

Southampton

11.05.2021

Southampton

Premier League

Crystal Palace

12.09.2020

Crystal Palace

Premier League

Southampton

21.01.2020

Crystal Palace

Premier League

Southampton

Southampton

Southampton

  • 5Matches
  • 4Goals
  • 0.8Goal per game
  • 0Wins
  • 1Draws
  • 4Losses
06.04, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur

home team logo
away team logo

Southampton

02.04, 20:45

Southampton

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away team logo

Crystal Palace

15.03, 16:00

Southampton

home team logo
away team logo

Wolverhampton

08.03, 17:30

Liverpool

home team logo
away team logo

Southampton

25.02, 21:15

Chelsea

home team logo
away team logo

Southampton

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

  • 5Matches
  • 8Goals
  • 1.6Goal per game
  • 4Wins
  • 1Draws
  • 0Losses
05.04, 16:00

Crystal Palace

home team logo
away team logo

Brighton & Hove Albion

02.04, 20:45

Southampton

home team logo
away team logo

Crystal Palace

29.03, 13:15

Fulham

home team logo
away team logo

Crystal Palace

13.03, 16:00

Crystal Palace

home team logo
away team logo

HamKam

08.03, 13:45

Crystal Palace

home team logo
away team logo

Ipswich Town

Predictions

SouthamptonSouthampton-Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Adam Hakanson

Southampton vs Crystal Palace: Match Prediction & Recommended Bet After careful analysis of both teams' current form, injury situations, and historical meetings, Crystal Palace appears well-positioned to take all three points from this fixture. Southampton's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 16 goals in their last five matches, are likely to be exploited by Palace's in-form attackers Mateta and Eze. The visitors' solid defensive record, with three clean sheets in their last five games, contrasts sharply with Southampton's leaky defense. While Southampton may benefit from home advanta...

8 days ago
Bet: Match goals Over 2.5 
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