Portugal vs Spain Tips 08.06.2025

CheckForm™ Analysis: Portugal vs Spain - How to Read the Numbers

Portugal vs Spain Prediction Summary

Our top pick: Spain to win at 2.50 odds - our CheckForm™ analysis shows Spain with a +63% form advantage despite Portugal's home record. The most likely score prediction is 1-3 based on both teams' recent goal-scoring form.

Match analysis: Expect an open game with over 2.5 goals (65% probability) as both teams average 3+ goals per match in recent fixtures, though Spain's superior defensive organization could prove decisive.

Portugal vs Spain Head-to-Head Record Stats

Complete head-to-head statistics between Portugal and Spain

Meeting History	Portugal Wins	Draws	Spain Wins
Last 5 meetings	0	1	1
All-time (since 1921)	6	12	16

Portugal vs Spain Match Analysis: Key Betting Metrics

Portugal averages 3.75 goals per match but concedes 3, while Spain scores 3 goals per game while conceding 2.3. Both teams show strong attacking numbers with Portugal averaging 16.45 shots per game (6.5 on target) and Spain 14.95 shots (5.4 on target). The over 2.5 goals market hits in 65% of Portugal's matches and 55% of Spain's.

Portugal & Spain Recent Form Analysis: UEFA Nations League Insights

Portugal comes into this match with 3 wins in their last 5 (W-W-L-D-W), including a 5-2 thrashing of Denmark. However, Spain's form is even more impressive with 4 wins and 1 draw (W-W-D-W-W), scoring 5+ goals in their last two matches. Spain's momentum coefficient of 1.1 reflects their consecutive wins streak, while Portugal also benefits from positive momentum after their recent victory over Germany.

Top Portugal vs Spain Betting Tips & Recommendations

• Spain to win (2.50): Our CheckForm™ analysis shows a +63% form advantage for Spain, who have won 4 of their last 5 matches. The odds represent excellent value against a Portugal side that has struggled defensively.
• Over 2.5 goals (1.80): Hits in 65% of Portugal's matches and 55% of Spain's, with both teams averaging over 3 goals per game in recent fixtures. The last 5 H2H meetings average 3.4 goals per game.
• Correct Score 1-3 (9.00): Our predictive model's most likely outcome based on Spain's superior form and Portugal's defensive vulnerabilities at home (conceding 3.82 goals per match).

Portugal vs Spain Score Prediction: Detailed Forecast

Predicted result: Portugal 1-3 Spain

Analysis:

• Spain's superior form (CheckForm™ 14.3 vs 8.8) and momentum (4 wins in last 5) gives them the edge despite Portugal's home advantage
• Portugal's defensive vulnerabilities (conceding 3 goals per match on average) will be exposed by Spain's potent attack (scoring 5+ in last two matches)
• The 1-3 scoreline reflects Portugal's likely consolation goal at home against Spain's more organized defense (conceding 2.3 goals per match)

Portugal vs Spain Key Statistics & Betting Indicators

• Portugal has failed to beat Spain in their last 5 meetings (0W, 1D, 1L in available data)
• Over 2.5 goals occurred in 50% of last H2H meetings, averaging 3.4 goals per game
• Spain has scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions
• Portugal averages 6.55 corners per game vs Spain's 5.9 - consider corner markets for value

Portugal vs Spain UEFA Nations League Betting: Frequently Asked Questions

Final Portugal vs Spain Betting Prediction

Our comprehensive analysis favors Spain to continue their excellent form with an away victory against Portugal. The 1-3 scoreline prediction accounts for Portugal's home scoring record but highlights Spain's superior organization and momentum. The over 2.5 goals market also presents strong value given both teams' attacking tendencies. For the latest odds and potential lineup impacts, check back closer to match day for updated Portugal vs Spain betting insights.