Mikel Merino's 90th-minute header snatched a 1-0 win for Spain over Portugal in the World Cup round of 16, with the substitute's decisive finish setting up a quarter-final tie that is yet to be determined. It was a cagey, attritional affair that exploded in stoppage time, leaving Portugal to rue a disciplined defensive display undone at the very death.
Portugal 0:1 Spain — Match Report
First half0 - 0
Second half0 - 1
- 89(Foul)
- 90 + 1
- 90 + 4(Foul)
- 90 + 7
- 90 + 9(Foul)
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of Portugal vs Spain?
Portugal 0-1 Spain (World Cup, Round of 16).
Who scored?
Mikel Merino (90', assist Ferran Torres) for Spain.
Was Spain's win deserved?
Yes — Spain were on top for most of the match.
Were there any cards in Portugal vs Spain?
Yellow cards: Bernardo Silva (Portugal); Ferran Torres (Spain); Renato Veiga (Portugal).
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Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
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Head to Head meetings
Portugal – Spain
Portugal
Spain
- 1
Victories
- 1
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  1 | 2  |
Scored goals | 3 | 5 |
Average per game | 0.75 | 1.25 |
The biggest victory | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Form
Portugal
- 5Matches
- 9Goals
- 1.8Goal per game
- 4Wins
- 0Draws
- 1Losses
Spain
- 5Matches
- 13Goals
- 2.6Goal per game
- 5Wins
- 0Draws
- 0Losses
Best statistical picks
Portugal – Spain
Recent form favours Spain to win
12 hasn't lost in 9 of the last matches
Spain opened the score in 5 of the last 7 matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Over 9.5
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Over 3.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 3.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Portugal
Portugal is a slight favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 61.5 + 5.8 for home advantage = 67.3 vs 61.5 for Spain. The biggest edge is in recent form (CheckForm 59 vs 58.3). CheckLive signal strength 58/100.
Both teams to score — Yes1.67
Medium confidence58%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
59
58.3
CheckSkill
57.2
57.8
CheckMental
75.4
75.4
CheckLive total67.3 vs 61.5+5.8Portugal: 61.5 + 5.8 for home advantage = 67.3
More match signals
Over 3.558%2.75
Over 4.551%5.50
Home win — Portugal50%3.90
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Portugal vs Spain?
In the CheckLive calculation Portugal is the favourite: 61.5 + 5.8 for home advantage = 67.3 vs 61.5. Signal strength 58/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Portugal's main edge?
Portugal is strongest in recent form: CheckForm 59 vs 58.3 for Spain. The overall rating gap is 5.8.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-2 (Portugal vs Spain, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.95 |