York United FC host Pacific FC in a Canadian Premier League fixture, with league points on the line. CheckLive's model favours the home side on a 67 per cent signal strength, which it classes as high. That is a clear lean rather than a certainty, and recent form says a draw has to be respected.
York United's last five bring one win, three draws and one defeat: a 4-3 home win over HFX Wanderers, a 1-1 home draw with FC Supra Du Quebec, a 1-2 defeat at Atlético Ottawa and 1-1 draws at Forge FC and Pacific FC. Pacific FC's last five are remarkably similar: a 4-3 home win over HFX Wanderers, a 0-2 defeat at Forge FC, a 1-1 draw at Vancouver FC, a 1-1 home draw with York United and a 0-0 draw at Atlético Ottawa. Both sides have identical records of one win, three draws and one defeat in that run.
Across the eight most recent meetings in the supplied head-to-head, York United have four wins, Pacific FC two, and two draws. Their last meeting, on 8 August at Pacific, ended 1-1. Given how tight this fixture has been, the draw has to be a live option even though CheckLive's model leans to the home side.
