10.0Fabián RuizParis Saint-Germain · Midfielder2 goals · 4 shots · 1 key pass · 0.84 xG10.0Fabián RuizParis Saint-Germain · Midfielder2 goals · 4 shots · 1 key pass · 0.84 xGVillarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain
First half0 - 4
- 9
- 13
- 45(Yellow card)
Second half0 - 2
- 50(Yellow card)
- 66(Yellow card)
- 74Q. Ndjantou
- 74Q. Ndjantou(Yellow card)
- 74L. Beraldo
- 78(Yellow card)
- 79
CheckMomentum
Villarreal
Match dominance
Villarrealeven
Paris Saint-Germain
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · LostBoth teams to score — Yes1.40
Public pick · WonParis Saint-Germain to win2,542 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 3expected score
Public pick · Lost0 : 141 bets
Google AIAICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
Villarreal
Paris Saint-Germain
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 1
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 1  |
Scored goals | 0 | 6 |
Average per game | 0 | 6 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0-6 |
Form
Villarreal
- 5Matches
- 10Goals
- 2Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 0Draws
- 3Losses
Paris Saint-Germain
- 5Matches
- 18Goals
- 3.6Goal per game
- 5Wins
- 0Draws
- 0Losses
Standings
Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
Best statistical picks
Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
Recent form favours Paris Saint-Germain to win
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
Questions & Answers
Who bet on what before the match
Public21.73
Money1 (+1.5)1.44
Pros21.64
Timeline
- 79′
Goal — Paris Saint-Germain0:6
- 71′
Public and money — on “O 5.5”
PublicO 5.51.47 → 1.01MoneyO 5.51.47 → 1.01Pros—no bets - 50′
Goal — Paris Saint-Germain0:5
- 22′
Market woke up: BTTS No
OutcomeBTTS No3.03 → 2.955people+$2.7Kin 3 min - 18′
Public and money — on Paris Saint-Germain
Public21.02Money21.02Pros—no bets - 17′
Goal — Paris Saint-Germain0:4
- 14′
Goal — Paris Saint-Germain0:3
- 12′
Goal — Paris Saint-Germain0:2
- 9′
Goal — Paris Saint-Germain0:1
- 2′
Public, money and pros — on Paris Saint-Germain
Public21.79 → 1.39Money21.79 → 1.39Pros21.79 → 1.39
Pros result
4 of 4 in profit
Match betting activity
$2.1M
Betting volume7.5K
bets- Villarreal handicap +1.5$856.7K233 bets
- Paris Saint-Germain to win$364.1K2,846 bets
- Double chance: 1X$352.6K402 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Bets and money by outcome
Number of betsMoney staked
1X2
4%2%94%
3%2%95%
U 2.5O 2.5
39%61%
25%75%
2 (-1.5)1 (+1.5)
54%46%
6%94%
Villarreal · 4-4-2
Starting lineups: 25 Péter Gulácsi, 20 Carlos Romero, 12 Renato Veiga, 15 Santiago Mouriño, 3 Alexander Freeman, 17 Tajon Buchanan, 18 Pape Gueye, 16 Carlos Macia, 14 Santi Comesaña, 22 Ayoze Pérez, 19 Nicolas Pépé
Paris Saint-Germain · 4-3-3
Starting lineups: 39 Matvey Safonov, 21 Lucas Hernández, 51 William Joel Pacho Tenorio, 6 Illia Zabarnyi, 2 Achraf Hakimi, 8 Fabián Ruiz, 17 Vítor Ferreira, 87 Joao Neves, 14 Désiré Doué, 24 Senny Mayulu, 11 Maghnes Akliouche
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain is a slight favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 60.9 vs 58.5 for Villarreal. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 75.4 vs 50.8). CheckLive signal strength 53/100.
Both teams to score — Yes1.44
Medium confidence67%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
48.3
59.4
CheckSkill
56.9
55.6
CheckMental
50.8
75.4
CheckLive total58.5 vs 60.9+2.4
More match signals
Over 2.565%1.44
Over 3.560%2.10
Away win — Paris Saint-Germain56%1.75
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · LostBoth teams to score — Yes1.40
Public pick · WonParis Saint-Germain to win2,542 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 3expected score
Public pick · Lost0 : 141 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain?
In the CheckLive calculation Paris Saint-Germain is the favourite: 60.9 vs 58.5. Signal strength 53/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's main edge?
Paris Saint-Germain is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 75.4 vs 50.8 for Villarreal. The overall rating gap is 2.4.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-3 (Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.75 |