9.2Alexis Mac AllisterLiverpool · Midfielder2 goals · 5 shots · 3 key passes · 1.07 xGLiverpool 4:3 Villarreal — Match Report
First half2 - 2
- 27(Yellow card)
- 41(Yellow card)
- 45 + 2
Second half2 - 1
- 66L. Koumas
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
Liverpool to winWon2.30
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT4–3L
+22.1Dominant
V
Liverpool to win
WonStandings
Liverpool – Villarreal
Head to Head meetings
Liverpool – Villarreal
Liverpool
Villarreal
- 3
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  3 | 0  |
Scored goals | 9 | 5 |
Average per game | 3 | 1.67 |
The biggest victory | 2-0 | 0 |
Liverpool
- 5Matches
- 13Goals
- 2.6Goal per game
- 4Wins
- 0Draws
- 1Losses
Villarreal
- 5Matches
- 9Goals
- 1.8Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Best statistical picks
Liverpool – Villarreal
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Over 3.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.25 |
Match betting activity
$868.8K
Betting volume6.9K
bets- Liverpool to winWon · 32% of bets$214.5K2,193 bets
- Double chance: X2Lost · 8% of bets$142.4K552 bets
- Villarreal handicap +1.5Won · 3.5% of bets$102K237 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
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◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Liverpool
Liverpool is the favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 58.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.5 vs 51.3 for Villarreal. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 67 vs 50.8). CheckLive signal strength 68/100.
Home win — Liverpool1.48
High confidence68%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
56.6
47.9
CheckSkill
56.7
54.1
CheckMental
67
50.8
CheckLive total64.5 vs 51.3+13.2Liverpool: 58.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.5
More match signals
Liverpool (DNB)81%1.18
Over 2.580%1.44
Liverpool (−1)62%
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonHome win — Liverpool1.48
Public pick · WonLiverpool to win1,253 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 1expected score
Public pick · Lost3 : 137 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool vs Villarreal?
In the CheckLive calculation Liverpool is the favourite: 58.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.5 vs 51.3. Signal strength 68/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Liverpool's main edge?
Liverpool is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 67 vs 50.8 for Villarreal. The overall rating gap is 13.2.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-1 (Liverpool vs Villarreal, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
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- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.25 |