Torino host Monza in the Coppa Italia Round of 32 with a place in the next round on the line. CheckLive sees Torino as favourites, giving them a 59% win probability, though the signal is only medium. That means it is a meaningful edge but not a commanding one — a draw or a Monza result would not be a shock.
Torino come into this on the back of four wins in five, the only defeat a 1-2 league loss at Milan. That run includes a 1-0 victory over Carrarese in this competition. Monza have had a bumpier path: two wins, a draw and two defeats from their last five, with the cup highlight a 3-0 success against Avellino.
The head-to-head favours Torino clearly — four wins and three draws in seven meetings, with Monza yet to win, and Torino took the most recent meeting 2-0 in Serie A in March. Still, three of those seven games ended level, and with both sides already having won a cup tie this season, the key is whether Torino can turn their historical edge into a clean performance on the night.
