Who is the favourite in Monza vs Napoli?

In the CheckLive calculation Napoli is the favourite: 54.5 vs 46.3 + 5.8 for home advantage = 52.1. Signal strength 54/100; it is not a win probability.

What is Napoli's main edge?

Napoli is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 58.4 vs 37.7 for Monza. The overall rating gap is 2.4.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 0-3 (Monza vs Napoli, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

Monza

28.10.2026 19:45

GOAL!1 - 4FT

Napoli

Player of the match

7.7Rasmus HøjlundNapoli · Forward1 goal · 1 shot · 0.13 xG

Monza 1:4 Napoli — Match Report

First half1 - 1

Second half0 - 3

CheckMomentumResult

Match dominance

100%

Monza

even

Napoli

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · only the betting pick won

CHECKLIVE · LostBoth teams to score — No2.10

Public pick · WonNapoli to win337 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost0 : 3expected score

Public pick · Lost1 : 316 bets

AICheckLive AI Bot

Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

Ask the AI bot about this match

H2H

Head to Head meetings

Monza – Napoli

Monza

Napoli

1
Victories
1
Draws
5
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	1	5
Scored goals	5	15
Average per game	0.71	2.14
The biggest victory	2-0	0-4

Form

Monza

5Matches
10Goals
2Goal per game
1Wins
1Draws
3Losses

date	first team	second team
28.10, 19:45
28.10, 19:45	Monza	Napoli
23.10, 18:45
23.10, 18:45	Torino	Monza
19.10, 16:30
19.10, 16:30	Monza	Cagliari
11.10, 13:00
11.10, 13:00	Lazio	Monza
03.10, 16:00
03.10, 16:00	Stade Brestois	Monza

Napoli

5Matches
12Goals
2.4Goal per game
2Wins
1Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
28.10, 19:45
28.10, 19:45	Monza	Napoli
24.10, 16:00
24.10, 16:00	Napoli	Roma
20.10, 19:00
20.10, 19:00	Napoli	Bodø/Glimt
17.10, 13:00
17.10, 13:00	Venezia	Napoli
13.10, 19:00
13.10, 19:00	Villarreal	Napoli

Standings

Monza – Napoli

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	14	W L D W
16	Monza	9	2	1	6	16:22	7	L W L L

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
7	Napoli	9	+6	14
16	Monza	9	-6	7

Best statistical picks

Monza – Napoli

Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 8.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5

Odds

1	X	2
4.75	3.90	1.73

Questions & Answers

Who bet on what before the match

Public21.63

Money21.63

ProsX4.00

Timeline

68′
Goal — Napoli1:4
63′
Goal — Napoli1:3
49′
Goal — Napoli1:2
43′
Goal — Monza1:1
11′
Public and money — on Napoli
Public21.33 → 1.30
Money21.33 → 1.30
Pros—no bets
11′
Goal — Napoli0:1

Pros result

0 of 1 in profit

27 Oct11:54LottaROI +4%X−$10

Match betting activity

Full time

$719.6K

Betting volume

2.8K

bets

Napoli to win$504.3K560 bets
Over 2.5 goals$30K129 bets
Over 1.5 goals$23.1K35 bets

All bets

$28,984

Betting volume

293

bets

All bets · newest first

Score other than 2–4Odds: 1.02$770′
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.03$2670′
Monza handicap +3.5Odds: 1.06$6570′
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.05$470′
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.04$2070′
Over 5.5 goalsOdds: 20.00$870′
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.05$33870′
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.08$5070′
Napoli handicap -3.5Odds: 11.76$170′
Napoli handicap -3.5Odds: 12.38$2870′
Over 5.5 goalsOdds: 12.50$270′
Napoli: under 4.5 goalsOdds: 1.06$170′
Over 5.5 goalsOdds: 11.52$370′
Over 5.5 goalsOdds: 12.15$470′
Napoli: under 4.5 goalsOdds: 1.06$170′
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.11$170′
Exact score 1–4Odds: 1.09$170′
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.11$570′
Exact score 1–4Odds: 1.12$470′
Napoli handicap -2.5Odds: 1.05$14370′

Bets and money by outcome

Number of betsMoney staked

1X2

18%11%71%

1%0%99%

U 2.5O 2.5

32%68%

8%92%

1X12X2

53%11%36%

54%7%39%