Who will win between Casa Pia and Tondela?

Casa Pia are favoured to win according to CheckLive's analysis, with a 59% probability reflecting their narrow skill advantage and home ground. Tondela's poor away record and lack of creativity make them unlikely to overcome the hosts, though a draw is possible given both sides' winless runs.

Which team has better form coming into this match?

Form is nearly identical, with both teams winless in five and sharing similar ratings. Casa Pia have a minuscule edge in defensive solidity, but neither side has momentum. The home side's slight overall advantage in CheckLive's metrics makes them the nominal favourite, but form alone offers no clear pick.

Will both teams score in this Primeira Liga match?

Given the poor attacking output from both sides — three goals from Casa Pia and two from Tondela in their last five — a low-scoring game is likely. However, both have conceded regularly, so BTTS is possible but not the most probable outcome. The lean is toward under 2.5 goals.

Casa Pia

03.05.2026 14:30

GOAL!0 - 1FT

Tondela

Casa Pia 0:1 Tondela — Match Report

First half0 - 0

Second half0 - 1

49
J. Livolant
(Foul)
51
R. Brito
(Foul)
53
VAR review (Cassiano)
55
Cassiano
(Violent conduct)
57
D. Rocha Livramento
J. Marques
58
L. Ofori
R. Brito
64
VAR review (T. Manso)
64
Bebeto
Clebinho
64
H. Tavares
T. Manso
65
A. Geraldes
(Foul)
68
Bebeto
70
P. Henryque
(Foul)
72
T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais
A. Geraldes
75
C. Marques
(Foul)
85
T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais
(Foul)
86
K. Silva
A. Conte
86
K. Prieto
G. Larrazabal
86
S. Sithole
P. Henryque
87
A. Van Der Heide
R. Lopes
90
I. Mohamed
(Foul)
90 + 5
B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
M. Aïko
90 + 8
J. Goulart
(Foul)
90 + 9
K. Prieto
(Dissent)
90 + 9
B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
(Dissent)
90 + 11
J. Livolant
(Foul)

Standings

Casa Pia – Tondela

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	3:17	4	D L W L

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4

Where people bet the most today

Total

$2.3M

Betting volume

17.9K

bets

Head to Head meetings

Casa Pia – Tondela

Casa Pia

Tondela

1
Victories
0
Draws
1
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	1	1
Scored goals	2	2
Average per game	1	1
The biggest victory	2-1	0-1

Casa Pia

5Matches
4Goals
0.8Goal per game
2Wins
1Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
18.10, 14:00
18.10, 14:00	FC Alpendorada	Casa Pia
10.10, 19:30
10.10, 19:30	Casa Pia	Santa Clara
20.09, 17:00
20.09, 17:00	Estoril Praia	Casa Pia
12.09, 17:00
12.09, 17:00	Casa Pia	FC Porto
06.09, 17:00
06.09, 17:00	Vitória SC	Casa Pia

Tondela

5Matches
13Goals
2.6Goal per game
5Wins
0Draws
0Losses

date	first team	second team
18.10, 14:00
18.10, 14:00	Tondela	FC Alverca
10.10, 10:00
10.10, 10:00	Tondela	Torreense
19.09, 10:00
19.09, 10:00	Imortal DC	Tondela
12.09, 10:00
12.09, 10:00	Portimonense	Tondela
05.09, 10:00
05.09, 10:00	Tondela	Porto B