Netherlands 1:1 Germany — Match Report
First half0 - 1
- 14VAR review (V. van Dijk)
- 22(Foul)
- 24(Foul)
Second half1 - 0
- 68(Dissent)
- 68(Foul)
- 69(Dissent)
- 90 + 2
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
Netherlands to winLost1.70
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT1–1N
+7.3Clear edge
G
Netherlands to win
LostQuestions & Answers
Who will win, Netherlands vs Germany?
CheckLive's model makes Germany the favourite. Model signal strength is 56/100; this is not a win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Netherlands 2:1 Germany.
When is Netherlands vs Germany?
Kick-off Thursday 24 September at 19:45 UK time, in the UEFA Nations League.
Head to Head meetings
Netherlands – Germany
Netherlands
Germany
- 0
Victories
- 3
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 2  |
Scored goals | 5 | 7 |
Average per game | 1 | 1.4 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0-1 |
Netherlands
Germany
Best statistical picks
Netherlands – Germany
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 matches
Germany opened the score in 5 of the last 5 matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Over 3.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 3.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.38 |
Match betting activity
$1.1M
Betting volume10K
bets- Germany to win19.9% of bets$199.4K2,001 bets
- Double chance: 1X6.2% of bets$128.5K622 bets
- Double chance: X25.6% of bets$118.5K567 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Germany
Germany is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 61.2 vs 59.7 for Netherlands. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 75.4 vs 71.2). CheckLive signal strength 56/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Netherlands, so the edge is thin.
Both teams to score — Yes1.36
Medium confidence56%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
57.3
59
CheckSkill
56.5
56.5
CheckMental
71.2
75.4
CheckLive total59.7 vs 61.2+1.5
More match signals
Netherlands (DNB)62%2.00
Netherlands or draw58%1.53
Under 2.550%2.88
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · WonBoth teams to score — Yes1.36
Betting pick · PendingGermany to win20% of bets · $199.4K
Exact score · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 1expected score
Betting pick · Pending0 : 17% of bets · $813
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Netherlands vs Germany?
On CheckLive metrics Germany rate higher: 61.2 vs 59.7, CheckLive signal strength 56/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Netherlands, so the edge is thin.
What is Germany's main edge?
Germany is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 75.4 vs 71.2 for Netherlands. The overall rating gap is 1.5.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-1 (Netherlands vs Germany, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.38 |