This is the second leg of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana playoff round, with Tigre hosting Club Nacional de Fútbol. CheckLive slightly favours the home side, giving Tigre a 51% win probability, but the signal is low — meaning the match is genuinely tight and a draw is a real possibility.
Tigre come into this having won their most recent meeting with Nacional 3-0, but their overall form is mixed: victories over Alianza Atlético de Sullana and the first-leg win sit alongside defeats to Independiente Rivadavia and draws with América de Cali and Macará. Nacional have lost four of their last five, including that first leg, and their only win in that run came against Juventud de Las Piedras.
The two sides have met only once before — that first leg, which Tigre won 3-0. With such a slender favourite and Nacional needing to overturn the deficit, expect a cautious, tactical contest where set-pieces and counter-attacks could decide it.
