Spain came away from England with a 3-2 win, and the numbers back them up. They created more, shot more often and made the better use of the big moments.
Harry KaneEngland · Forward1 goalEngland 2:3 Spain — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half2 - 1
- 2
- 40(N. O'Reilly)
Second half0 - 2
- 52Penalty confirmed (J. Bellingham)
- 54
- 55VAR review (H. Kane)
- 55A. Baena Rodríguez
- 60A. Baena Rodríguez
- 67N. O'Reilly(Yellow card)
- 69(Yellow card)
- 74(A. Baena Rodríguez)
- 81(Yellow card)
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
Spain to winWon1.50
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT2–3E
−12.5Strong edge
S
Spain to win
WonQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of England vs Spain?
England 2-3 Spain (UEFA Nations League).
Who scored?
Lamine Yamal (2') for Spain; Anthony Gordon (36', assist Jude Bellingham) for England; Harry Kane (40', assist Nico O'Reilly) for England; Alejandro Baena Rodríguez (60', assist Dani Olmo) for Spain; Mikel Oyarzabal (74', assist Alejandro Baena Rodríguez) for Spain.
Was Spain's win deserved?
It was close — an evenly matched game.
Were there any cards in England vs Spain?
Yellow cards: Nico O'Reilly (England); Marc Guéhi (England); Jude Bellingham (England).
Head to Head meetings
England – Spain
England
Spain
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 2  |
Scored goals | 3 | 5 |
Average per game | 1.5 | 2.5 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 2-3 |
England
Spain
Best statistical picks
England – Spain
Recent form favours Spain to win
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 matches
12 hasn't lost in 18 of the last matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Spain opened the score in 7 of the last 7 matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
Match betting activity
$3.5M
Betting volume17.6K
bets- Spain to winWon · 28.6% of bets$1.1M5,042 bets
- Double chance: 1XLost · 8.8% of bets$732.2K1,547 bets
- Double chance: X2Won · 7% of bets$437.1K1,233 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — England
England is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 62.8 vs 62.1 for Spain. The biggest edge is in recent form (CheckForm 60.3 vs 58.7). CheckLive signal strength 59/100.
Both teams to score — Yes1.62
Medium confidence59%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
60.3
58.7
CheckSkill
57.3
57
CheckMental
79.6
79.6
CheckLive total62.8 vs 62.1+0.7
More match signals
Over 2.567%1.75
Over 3.560%2.75
Home win — England59%3.80
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonBoth teams to score — Yes1.62
Betting pick · WonSpain to win29% of bets · $1.1M
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Betting pick · Lost1 : 218% of bets · $1.8K
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in England vs Spain?
On CheckLive metrics England rate higher: 62.8 vs 62.1, CheckLive signal strength 59/100.
What is England's main edge?
England is strongest in recent form: CheckForm 60.3 vs 58.7 for Spain. The overall rating gap is 0.7.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-2 (England vs Spain, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 3.40 | 2.00 |