Spain won 2-1 in Croatia, with Mikel Merino scoring both goals to turn the game around late on. Croatia led for more than half the match and finished with ten men.
7.5Aymeric LaporteSpain · Defender2 key passesCroatia 1:2 Spain — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half1 - 0
- 17
- 22(Foul)
Second half0 - 2
- 65(Foul)
- 66(Foul)
- 79(Foul)
Added time0 - 0
- (Dissent)
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
Spain to winWon1.90
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT1–2C
−21.9Dominant
S
Spain to win
WonQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of Croatia vs Spain?
Croatia 1-2 Spain (UEFA Nations League).
Who scored?
Ivan Perišić (17') for Croatia; Mikel Merino (61', assist Dani Olmo) for Spain; Mikel Merino (88', assist Martín Zubimendi) for Spain.
Was Spain's win deserved?
Not really — the opponent was the better side; Spain won on finishing.
Were there any red cards in Croatia vs Spain?
Yes — sent off: Ivan Perišić (Croatia, 79').
Standings
Croatia – Spain
Head to Head meetings
Croatia – Spain
Croatia
Spain
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 4
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 4  |
Scored goals | 2 | 9 |
Average per game | 0.5 | 2.25 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 1-4 |
Croatia
Spain
Best statistical picks
Croatia – Spain
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Spain opened the score in 10 of the last 10 matches
12 hasn't lost in 21 of the last matches
Recent form favours Spain to win
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 3.5
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.25 |
Match betting activity
$5.5M
Betting volume16.4K
bets- Spain to winWon · 25.4% of bets$3.1M4,151 bets
- Double chance: 1XLost · 8.1% of bets$387.8K1,333 bets
- Double chance: X2Won · 5.6% of bets$379.7K922 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Spain
Spain is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 62.8 vs 60.9 for Croatia. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 81.6 vs 73.2). CheckLive signal strength 55/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Croatia, so the edge is thin.
Under 2.52.70
Medium confidence55%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
59.5
59.1
CheckSkill
56.6
57.3
CheckMental
73.2
81.6
CheckLive total60.9 vs 62.8+1.9
More match signals
Under 1.555%5.50
Croatia or draw54%3.75
Both teams to score — No52%1.83
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · LostUnder 2.52.70
Public pick · PendingSpain to win1,695 bets
Exact score · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score
Public pick · Pending1 : 363 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Croatia vs Spain?
On CheckLive metrics Spain rate higher: 62.8 vs 60.9, CheckLive signal strength 55/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Croatia, so the edge is thin.
What is Spain's main edge?
Spain is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 81.6 vs 73.2 for Croatia. The overall rating gap is 1.9.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Croatia vs Spain, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.25 |