On aggregate Real Madrid advances · 1:5
Manchester City vs Real Madrid
First half1 - 1
- 20(Professional handball)
- 20VAR review (V. Júnior)
- 22
- 45 + 4(Foul)
Second half0 - 1
- 74
- 76(Time wasting)
- 80(Foul)
- 90 + 2VAR review (V. Júnior)
- 90 + 3
Added time0 - 0
- (Dissent)
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Head to Head meetings
Manchester City – Real Madrid
Manchester City
Real Madrid
- 3
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 6
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  3 | 6  |
Scored goals | 20 | 23 |
Average per game | 1.82 | 2.09 |
The biggest victory | 4-0 | 0-3 |
Form
Manchester City
- 5Matches
- 7Goals
- 1.4Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 0Draws
- 3Losses
Real Madrid
- 5Matches
- 16Goals
- 3.2Goal per game
- 5Wins
- 0Draws
- 0Losses
Standings
Manchester City – Real Madrid
Best statistical picks
Manchester City – Real Madrid
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Recent form favours Real Madrid to win
Manchester City opened the score in 6 of the last 8 matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 3.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 5.75 | 5.50 |
Real Madrid · 4-4-2
Starting lineups: 1 Thibaut Courtois, 12 Trent Alexander-Arnold, 22 Antonio Rüdiger, 4 Dean Huijsen, 11 Fran García, 8 Federico Valverde, 27 Thiago Pitarch, 14 Aurelien Tchouameni, 15 Arda Guler, 21 Brahim Díaz, 7 Vinícius Júnior
Manchester City · 4-1-4-1
Starting lineups: 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma, 27 Matheus Luiz Nunes, 45 Abdukodir Khusanov, 3 Rúben Dias, 3 Rayan Aït Nouri, 20 Bernardo Silva, 16 Rodri, 10 Rayan Cherki, 14 Tijjani Reijnders, 11 Jeremy Doku, 9 Erling Braut Håland
Real Madrid · 4-4-2
Starting lineups: 1 Thibaut Courtois, 12 Trent Alexander-Arnold, 22 Antonio Rüdiger, 4 Dean Huijsen, 33 Alvaro Fernandez, 8 Federico Valverde, 27 Thiago Pitarch, 14 Aurelien Tchouameni, 15 Arda Guler, 21 Brahim Díaz, 7 Vinícius Júnior
Manchester City · 4-1-3-2
Starting lineups: 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma, 27 Matheus Luiz Nunes, 3 Rúben Dias, 6 Marc Guehi, 3 Rayan Aït Nouri, 16 Rodri, 20 Bernardo Silva, 10 Rayan Cherki, 75 Nico O’Reilly, 42 Antoine Semenyo, 9 Erling Braut Håland
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Manchester City
CheckLive's preview tilts slightly toward Real Madrid, built on a mental edge and sharper recent form. City's superior skill metrics and home advantage keep the contest alive, but the visitors carry the composure of a side that has won three of the last five meetings including a clean-sheet win at this venue.
Home win — Manchester City1.44
Medium confidence69%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
57.5
60.8
CheckSkill
65.2
49
CheckMental
71.2
79.6
CheckLive total69.5 vs 59.3+10.2
More match signals
Both teams to score — Yes81%1.57
Over 3.580%2.00
Over 4.576%3.20
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win between Manchester City and Real Madrid?
Real Madrid hold a narrow statistical edge, with CheckLive's model favouring them at 56%. Their strong head-to-head record and mental composure in big away games tip the balance, though Manchester City's home form and skill make them a live underdog.
Which team has better form ahead of this Champions League match?
Real Madrid arrive with slightly better form, riding a two-match winning streak in the competition. Manchester City have three wins from five but lost at home to Madrid last time. Both sides show positive trends, but Madrid's recent run is marginally stronger.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Real Madrid?
Both teams have scored in seven of the last ten meetings, with an average of 4.7 total goals per game. Given the attacking quality on display and the stakes, BTTS looks a plausible outcome again, though tight margins are possible.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 5.75 | 5.50 |