8.3Donyell MalenRoma · Forward2 goals · 4 shots · 2 key passes · 0.73 xG8.3Donyell MalenRoma · Forward2 goals · 4 shots · 2 key passes · 0.73 xGRoma 3:4 Real Madrid — Match Report
First half1 - 1
Second half2 - 3
- 58Goal confirmed (D. Malen)
- 60(Yellow card)
- 69(Yellow card)
- 83Goal confirmed (C. Espi)
- 83
- 89(Yellow card)
- 90 + 5(Yellow card)
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonOver 3.52.10
Public pick · WonReal Madrid to win2,680 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 268 bets
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
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Head to Head meetings
Roma – Real Madrid
Roma
Real Madrid
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 1
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 1  |
Scored goals | 3 | 4 |
Average per game | 3 | 4 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 3-4 |
Form
Roma
- 5Matches
- 16Goals
- 3.2Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 1Draws
- 1Losses
Real Madrid
- 5Matches
- 15Goals
- 3Goal per game
- 5Wins
- 0Draws
- 0Losses
Standings
Roma – Real Madrid
Best statistical picks
Roma – Real Madrid
1X hasn't lost in 8 of the last matches
Real Madrid opened the score in 6 of the last 8 matches
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
Questions & Answers
Match betting activity
$3.7M
Betting volume14.6K
bets- Real Madrid to win$2.3M4,538 bets
- Double chance: 1X$480.2K1,165 bets
- Roma to win$174.1K1,072 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Roma
Roma is a slight favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 60.3 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.1 vs 62.3 for Real Madrid. The biggest edge is in overall quality (CheckSkill 57 vs 56.4). CheckLive signal strength 55/100.
Over 3.52.10
Medium confidence55%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
58.4
60
CheckSkill
57
56.4
CheckMental
71.2
79.6
CheckLive total66.1 vs 62.3+3.8Roma: 60.3 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.1
More match signals
Over 4.565%3.50
Both teams to score — Yes63%1.44
Home win — Roma51%3.70
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonOver 3.52.10
Public pick · WonReal Madrid to win2,680 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 268 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Roma vs Real Madrid?
In the CheckLive calculation Roma is the favourite: 60.3 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.1 vs 62.3. Signal strength 55/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Roma's main edge?
Roma is strongest in overall quality: CheckSkill 57 vs 56.4 for Real Madrid. The overall rating gap is 3.8.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-2 (Roma vs Real Madrid, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 4.00 | 1.90 |