Progreso beat Danubio 1-0 in Primera División, thanks to a stoppage-time winner. The game looked to be heading for a goalless draw until Nahuel Lopez scored in the 89th minute. Seven yellow cards were shown across the match, including one to Lopez after his goal.
Progreso vs Danubio
First half0 - 0
- 26
- 28
- 30
- 45
Second half1 - 0
- 72
- 74
- 89
- 90 + 1
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTQuestions & Answers
Who will win, Progreso vs Danubio?
CheckLive's model makes Progreso the favourite, with a 58% win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Progreso 3:1 Danubio.
When is Progreso vs Danubio?
Kick-off Saturday 29 August at 15:00 UK time, in the Primera División.
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Head to Head meetings
Progreso – Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
- 4
Victories
- 4
Draws
- 1
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  4 | 1  |
Scored goals | 10 | 8 |
Average per game | 1.11 | 0.89 |
The biggest victory | 1-0 | 0-1 |
Form
Progreso
- 5Matches
- 6Goals
- 1.2Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Danubio
- 5Matches
- 7Goals
- 1.4Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 0Draws
- 2Losses
Standings
Progreso – Danubio
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | -8 | 10 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | -16 | 32 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | -4 | 4 |
Best statistical picks
Progreso – Danubio
X2 hasn't lost in 3 of the last matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Under 2.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Progreso
Progreso arrive on four straight defeats, yet the head-to-head favours the home side — three wins and four draws in eight meetings, including a 2-1 win over Danubio in May. Danubio haven't won in five. CheckLive's read leans home, a narrow 58% edge.
Over 2.52.25
Medium confidence63%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
35.8
34
CheckSkill
43.6
46.4
CheckMental
24.4
20.2
CheckLive total42.8 vs 36.8+6.0
More match signals
Both teams to score — Yes61%2.00
Over 3.556%4.00
Home win — Progreso55%2.90
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win between Progreso and Danubio?
CheckLive's read gives Progreso the edge. Home sides have won three and lost just once in eight meetings with Danubio, whose winless run stretches to five games. That edge makes Progreso the pick.
Are Progreso favourites despite four straight losses?
Only slightly. Progreso won the last meeting 2-1 and the home side has lost just once in eight head-to-head games. Danubio, though, are higher in the table and Progreso arrive on four straight defeats, so this is close.
Will both teams score in Progreso vs Danubio?
Likely. The last meeting finished 2-1 and head-to-head games average three goals, so both sides have regularly found the net against each other. Progreso have managed just two goals in five, which is the main counter-argument.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.30 |