Who is the favourite in Danubio vs Nacional?

In the CheckLive calculation Nacional is the favourite: 59.7 vs 44.2. Signal strength 71/100; it is not a win probability.

What is Nacional's main edge?

Nacional is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 73.2 vs 24.4 for Danubio. The overall rating gap is 15.5.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 0-1 (Danubio vs Nacional, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

Danubio

01.11.2026 19:30

GOAL!1 - 2FT

Nacional

Danubio vs Nacional

First half1 - 1

Second half0 - 1

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · both picks won

CHECKLIVE · WonAway win — Nacional1.62

Public pick · WonNacional to win22 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost0 : 1expected score

Public pick · Lost1 : 12 bets

AICheckLive AI Bot

Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

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H2H

Head to Head meetings

Danubio – Nacional

Danubio

Nacional

6
Victories
4
Draws
13
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	6	13
Scored goals	18	31
Average per game	0.78	1.35
The biggest victory	3-1	0-6

Form

Danubio

5Matches
12Goals
2.4Goal per game
3Wins
0Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
01.11, 19:30
01.11, 19:30	Danubio	Nacional
29.10, 23:30
29.10, 23:30	CA Wanderers Durazno	Danubio
24.10, 22:00
24.10, 22:00	Deportivo Maldonado	Danubio
18.10, 18:00
18.10, 18:00	Danubio	Central Español
15.10, 19:00
15.10, 19:00	Central Español	Danubio

Nacional

5Matches
10Goals
2Goal per game
4Wins
0Draws
1Losses

date	first team	second team
05.11, 00:00
05.11, 00:00	Ferro Carril FC de Salto	Nacional
01.11, 19:30
01.11, 19:30	Danubio	Nacional
25.10, 22:30
25.10, 22:30	Nacional	Liverpool UY
19.10, 23:00
19.10, 23:00	Nacional	Deportivo Maldonado
15.10, 23:00
15.10, 23:00	Nacional	Rentistas

Standings

Danubio – Nacional

Primera Division 2026, Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
7	Nacional	15	7	1	7	26:21	22	W W L W
11	Danubio	15	4	6	5	17:21	18	L W L L

Primera Division 2026, Clausura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
3	Nacional	13	8	2	3	19:13	26	W W L W
14	Danubio	13	2	4	7	7:15	10	L W L L

Primera Division 2026, Overall

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
4	Nacional	35	19	4	12	53:42	61	W W L W
16	Danubio	35	6	14	15	29:45	32	L W L L

Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
2	Nacional	7	4	1	2	8:8	13	W W L W
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5:9	4	L W L L

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
7	Nacional	15	+5	22
11	Danubio	15	-4	18

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
3	Nacional	13	+6	26
14	Danubio	13	-8	10

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
4	Nacional	35	+11	61
16	Danubio	35	-16	32

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
2	Nacional	7	0	13
8	Danubio	7	-4	4

Odds

1	X	2
4.33	3.70	1.70

Questions & Answers

Who bet on what before the match

Public21.79

Money21.79

Pros—no bets

Timeline

90+4′
Red card — Danubio
88′
Goal — Nacional1:2
37′
Goal — Danubio1:1
23′
Goal — Nacional0:1

Match betting activity

Full time

$3.4K

Betting volume

176

bets

Nacional to win$74936 bets
Danubio handicap +1.5$51813 bets
Double chance: 1X$36319 bets