This is the first leg of CAF Champions League Qualification Round 1. CheckLive favours Al-Merrikh, with a 53% win probability, but the signal is only medium and that is a narrow edge. A place in the next round is at stake, and nothing about this tie looks settled.
Al-Merrikh's last five games show three wins, including a 4-0 defeat of Hay Al Wadi and a 6-0 win over Al Falah Atbara, but also a 0-1 loss to Al-Hilal Omdurman and a 1-3 defeat at Gorilla FC. Power Dynamos have won three of their last five — 1-0 against Red Arrows, 2-0 against Mufulira Wanderers and 1-0 against Green Eagles — alongside a 2-2 draw with Mutondo Stars and a 0-1 loss to ZESCO United.
These two sides have no previous meetings, so there is no head-to-head record to separate them. With CheckLive's edge so small, a draw is a real possible outcome, and the key is whether Al-Merrikh can use home advantage to take control of the tie.



