This is a Brasileiro Série B meeting between Vila Nova and Ponte Preta, with both sides looking for points in the second tier. CheckLive favour the home side, giving Vila Nova a 79% win probability, and the signal is a strong one – though that still leaves plenty of room for a draw or an away result.
Vila Nova's recent form has been up and down: they beat Atlético Goianiense 2-0 and Fortaleza 2-1, but lost to Sport Recife 0-1, CRB 0-2 and Criciúma 0-2. Ponte Preta are winless in their last five, drawing 1-1 with Náutico and Athletic Club, and losing to Ceará 0-2, Operário-PR 2-3 and Goiás 1-2.
The head-to-head is tight – eight meetings, with Vila Nova winning two, Ponte Preta winning two, and four draws. The most recent meeting finished 0-1. With Ponte Preta struggling to turn draws into wins, the key will be whether they can finally hold on for a result, while Vila Nova look to make their favourite tag count.
