Who will win the match between Philadelphia Union and San Jose Earthquakes?

Based on CheckLive's analysis, Philadelphia Union are the favourites with a 73% win probability. Their superior mental composure and a slight edge in recent form metrics outweigh San Jose Earthquakes' impressive five-match winning streak. The model points to the Union's resilience as the key factor, especially in a match where momentum can shift quickly. Expect a hard-fought contest with the Union likely to edge it.

Who has better form coming into this MLS opener?

San Jose Earthquakes have won five straight matches, an excellent record, while Philadelphia Union have a mixed run of two wins in five. However, CheckLive's form metric rates Philadelphia slightly higher (58.4 vs 43.2) when accounting for opponent quality and performance context. The Quakes' streak is eye-catching, but the Union's underlying form is more solid.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Both teams have strong attacking records, and the H2H shows goals at both ends in one of two meetings. Philadelphia's home matches have seen BTTS in three of five, while San Jose scored in all five wins. The likelihood is high for goals from both sides, making BTTS a reasonable expectation.

Philadelphia Union

08.03.2026 00:30

GOAL!0 - 1FT

San Jose Earthquakes

Philadelphia Union 0:1 San Jose Earthquakes — Match Report

First half0 - 0

15
B. Kikanović
(Foul)
20
J. Lukic
(Foul)

Second half0 - 1

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H2H

Head to Head meetings

Philadelphia Union – San Jose Earthquakes

Philadelphia Union

San Jose Earthquakes

1
Victories
0
Draws
2
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	1	2
Scored goals	3	3
Average per game	1	1
The biggest victory	2-0	0-1

Form