The question is simple and uncomfortable for Perth: was the 21-point beating by this same opponent a bad night or a blueprint? CheckLive's model makes Perth Wildcats a 64% favourite in this NBL fixture, a strong signal that leans on class rather than on the last scoreboard. For a side sitting 0-1, the answer arrives fast.
Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Basketball Live Score & Lineups
Michael KempferBasketball AnalystMATCH PREVIEWQuestions & Answers
Who is the favourite in Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix?
CheckLive favours Perth Wildcats. Model signal strength: 64/100.
When is Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix?
2 October 2026 at 12:30 UK time
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Points | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Pre-match betting activity
$765
Betting volume19
bets- South East Melbourne Phoenix to win89.5% of bets→$76017 bets
- Perth Wildcats to win10.5% of bets→$52 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Perth Wildcats
Perth Wildcats is the favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 70.1 vs 62.6 for South East Melbourne Phoenix. The biggest edge is in recent form (CheckForm 69 vs 59). CheckLive signal strength 64/100.
Home win — Perth Wildcats
High confidence64%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
69
59
CheckSkill
78
70
CheckMental
54
52
CheckLive total70.1 vs 62.6+7.5
More match signals
Over 191.549%
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
All markets · picks differ
CHECKLIVEHome win — Perth Wildcats57% confidence
Betting pickSouth East Melbourne Phoenix to win89% of bets · $760
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix?
On CheckLive metrics Perth Wildcats rate higher: 70.1 vs 62.6, CheckLive signal strength 64/100.
What is Perth Wildcats's main edge?
Perth Wildcats is strongest in recent form: CheckForm 69 vs 59 for South East Melbourne Phoenix. The overall rating gap is 7.5.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
NBL 26/27
| # | Team | P | W | L | % | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney Kings | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100.0% | WWW |
| 2 |  Perth Wildcats | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% | LWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Bullets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% | WWL |
| 4 |  Adelaide 36ers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% | WLW |
| 5 |  New Zealand Breakers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | WLLW |
| 6 |  Melbourne United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% | LWL |
| 7 |  Cairns Taipans | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% | LWLL |
| 8 |  Tasmania JackJumpers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% | WLW |
| 9 |  South East Melbourne Phoenix | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% | WLL |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | LLL |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney Kings | 3 | +57 | 100.0% |
| 2 | Perth Wildcats | 3 | -16 | 66.7% |
| 3 | Brisbane Bullets | 3 | -4 | 66.7% |
| 4 | Adelaide 36ers | 3 | +15 | 66.7% |
| 5 | New Zealand Breakers | 4 | +30 | 50.0% |
| 6 | Melbourne United | 2 | +23 | 50.0% |
| 7 | Cairns Taipans | 4 | -52 | 25.0% |
| 8 | Tasmania JackJumpers | 2 | -1 | 50.0% |
| 9 | South East Melbourne Phoenix | 3 | -9 | 33.3% |
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks | 3 | -43 | 0.0% |
Perth Wildcats