The question is simple and uncomfortable for the home side: can a team that has yet to win a game dictate the tempo against one that grinds out finishes? CheckLive's model still makes Illawarra Hawks a 56% favourite in this NBL fixture, a medium signal that leans on history rather than on anything happening right now. Tasmania Jackjumpers arrive with the better record and the lesser doubt.
Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers Basketball Live Score & Lineups
Michael KempferBasketball AnalystMATCH PREVIEWQuestions & Answers
Who is the favourite in Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers?
CheckLive favours Illawarra Hawks. Model signal strength: 56/100.
When is Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers?
9 October 2026 at 09:30 UK time
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
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- 0
Victories
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Points | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Illawarra Hawks
Illawarra Hawks is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 62.6 vs 61.3 for Tasmania JackJumpers. The biggest edge is in recent form (CheckForm 60 vs 51). CheckLive signal strength 56/100.
Under 185.5
Medium confidence56%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
60
51
CheckSkill
71
73
CheckMental
48
53
CheckLive total62.6 vs 61.3+1.3
More match signals
Home win — Illawarra Hawks50%
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers?
On CheckLive metrics Illawarra Hawks rate higher: 62.6 vs 61.3, CheckLive signal strength 56/100.
What is Illawarra Hawks's main edge?
Illawarra Hawks is strongest in recent form: CheckForm 60 vs 51 for Tasmania JackJumpers. The overall rating gap is 1.3.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
NBL 26/27
| # | Team | P | W | L | % | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney Kings | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100.0% | WWW |
| 3 |  Tasmania JackJumpers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% | WLWW |
| 4 |  Adelaide 36ers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% | LWLL |
| 4 |  Brisbane Bullets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% | WWLL |
| 5 |  Perth Wildcats | 3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7% | LWWW |
| 6 |  New Zealand Breakers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | LLWW |
| 7 |  Melbourne United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% | LWLL |
| 7 |  Cairns Taipans | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% | WLLW |
| 9 |  South East Melbourne Phoenix | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% | LLLW |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | LLWL |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney Kings | 3 | +57 | 100.0% |
| 3 | Tasmania JackJumpers | 3 | +1 | 66.7% |
| 4 | Adelaide 36ers | 3 | +15 | 66.7% |
| 4 | Brisbane Bullets | 3 | -4 | 66.7% |
| 5 | Perth Wildcats | 3 | -16 | 66.7% |
| 6 | New Zealand Breakers | 4 | +30 | 50.0% |
| 7 | Melbourne United | 3 | +21 | 33.3% |
| 7 | Cairns Taipans | 4 | -52 | 25.0% |
| 9 | South East Melbourne Phoenix | 3 | -9 | 33.3% |
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks | 3 | -43 | 0.0% |
Illawarra Hawks