Club Nacional de Fútbol beat Peñarol 1-0 away in Primera División, with the only goal arriving in the first half. Francisco Calvo's finish on 24 minutes settled a tight contest at Peñarol's ground.
Peñarol 0:1 Nacional — Match Report
First half0 - 1
- 24
- 39
- 45 + 3
Second half0 - 0
- 58G. Gelini
- 75
- 79
- 84
- 90 + 1
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTQuestions & Answers
Who will win, Peñarol vs Club Nacional de Fútbol?
CheckLive's model makes Peñarol the favourite, with a 62% win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Peñarol 4:1 Club Nacional de Fútbol.
When is Peñarol vs Club Nacional de Fútbol?
Kick-off Sunday 30 August at 19:30 UK time, in the Primera División.
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Head to Head meetings
Peñarol – Nacional
Peñarol
Nacional
- 11
Victories
- 11
Draws
- 14
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  11 | 14  |
Scored goals | 32 | 40 |
Average per game | 0.89 | 1.11 |
The biggest victory | 3-0 | 0-3 |
Form
Peñarol
- 5Matches
- 3Goals
- 0.6Goal per game
- 1Wins
- 3Draws
- 1Losses
Nacional
- 5Matches
- 9Goals
- 1.8Goal per game
- 4Wins
- 0Draws
- 1Losses
Standings
Peñarol – Nacional
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Peñarol | 15 | +7 | 27 |
| 7 | Nacional | 15 | +5 | 22 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nacional | 11 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Peñarol | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol | 34 | +24 | 64 |
| 4 | Nacional | 34 | +10 | 58 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nacional | 7 | 0 | 13 |
Best statistical picks
Peñarol – Nacional
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
1X hasn't lost in 8 of the last matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
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◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Peñarol
Peñarol arrive for the Clásico in charge: five unbeaten, four straight wins, 13 goals scored, two conceded. They won the last meeting 1-0, and with Nacional losing two of five, CheckLive's read leans the leaders — a 62% edge, solid not commanding.
Home win — Peñarol2.25
High confidence62%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
48.4
45.4
CheckSkill
52.1
52.6
CheckMental
52.5
43.3
CheckLive total56.7 vs 48.2+8.5Peñarol: 50.9 + 5.8 for home advantage = 56.7
More match signals
Over 3.571%4.00
Both teams to score — Yes70%1.91
Over 4.566%9.00
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win the Peñarol vs Nacional match?
Peñarol look the stronger side: unbeaten in five with 13 goals scored and two conceded, and they won the last clásico 1-0. CheckLive's read leans the home side, though derbies rarely go exactly to form.
How do Peñarol and Nacional compare on form?
Peñarol are on an excellent run: five unbeaten with four straight wins and only two goals conceded. Nacional are winning three of their last five but have already lost two, scoring and conceding six each.
Which goals market stands out for the clásico?
History says goals are likely: the last 15 clásicos averaged 4.4 per game. Over 2.5 total goals looks the more reliable angle, with Peñarol's attack strong at home rather than betting both teams to score.
Head to Head meetings
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- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.90 |