Baltika Kaliningrad host Lokomotiv Moscow in a Premier Liga fixture on 6 September. CheckLive's model favours the home side at 59% signal strength, but that is a medium reading, so this one is close and a draw is a real possibility.
Baltika's last five include one win, three draws and a defeat: a 3-0 league win away at Rodina Moscow, a 1-1 home draw with Rubin Kazan, a 1-2 home league loss to Spartak Moscow, plus cup draws with Krylya Sovetov Samara (0-0, lost on penalties) and Dinamo Makhachkala (1-1, won on penalties). Lokomotiv are winless in five: a 1-1 draw at Orenburg, a 0-1 home loss to Dynamo Moscow, a 2-3 defeat at CSKA Moscow, a 0-0 cup draw at Akron Togliatti (lost on penalties) and a 0-1 cup loss at Rostov.
The head-to-head record in the supplied sample is one-sided: Baltika have no wins, one draw and four defeats against Lokomotiv across the Premier Liga, Russian Cup and a friendly. The model's favoured scoreline is 1-0, but with both sides scoring little of late, the key question is who can break the deadlock.
