Crystal Palace won 4-0 at home to Lech Poznan in the Europa League, and the margin flattered them more than the numbers suggest. Lech had 16 shots to Palace's 15 and matched them with six on target, but the finishing told a very different story.
8.9Yéremy PinoCrystal Palace · Forward1 goal · 4 shots · 2 key passes · 0.74 xGCrystal Palace 4:0 Lech Poznań — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half3 - 0
- 10
- 34J. Strand Larsen
Second half1 - 0
- 61A. Sayyadmanesh
- 74J. Strand Larsen
- 76(Yellow card)
- 87(Red card)
Live Prediction
Crystal Palace to winWon1.16
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT4–0C
+39.2Dominant
L
Crystal Palace to win
WonQuestions & Answers
Who will win, Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznań?
CheckLive's model makes Lech Poznań the favourite. Model signal strength is 59/100; this is not a win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Crystal Palace 2:3 Lech Poznań.
When is Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznań?
Kick-off Thursday 17 September at 20:00 UK time, in the UEFA Europa League.
Standings
Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań
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Head to Head meetings
Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań
Crystal Palace
Lech Poznań
- 1
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  1 | 0  |
Scored goals | 4 | 0 |
Average per game | 4 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 4-0 | 0 |
Crystal Palace
- 5Matches
- 7Goals
- 1.4Goal per game
- 1Wins
- 1Draws
- 3Losses
Lech Poznań
- 5Matches
- 13Goals
- 2.6Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 2Draws
- 1Losses
Best statistical picks
Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Lech Poznań opened the score in 8 of the last 8 matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 3.5
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchOdds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań is the favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 61.3 vs 48.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 54.5 for Crystal Palace. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 77.4 vs 43.3). CheckLive signal strength 59/100.
Over 3.52.20
Medium confidence59%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
45.8
59.3
CheckSkill
53.3
55.7
CheckMental
43.3
77.4
CheckLive total54.5 vs 61.3+6.8Crystal Palace: 48.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 54.5
More match signals
Away win — Lech Poznań72%8.00
Lech Poznań (DNB)71%6.50
Lech Poznań (−1)52%
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznań?
In the CheckLive calculation Lech Poznań is the favourite: 61.3 vs 48.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 54.5. Signal strength 59/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Lech Poznań's main edge?
Lech Poznań is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 77.4 vs 43.3 for Crystal Palace. The overall rating gap is 6.8.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-3 (Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznań, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.00 |