8.2Malik TillmanBayer 04 Leverkusen · Midfielder1 goal · 4 shots · 4 key passes · 1.29 xG8.2Malik TillmanBayer 04 Leverkusen · Midfielder1 goal · 4 shots · 4 key passes · 1.29 xGLech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
First half0 - 3
- 25Penalty confirmed (I. Maza)
- 29
- 32
- 38Penalty confirmed (P. Schick)
- 40(Yellow card)
- 41
Second half0 - 1
- 68(Yellow card)
- 80(Yellow card)
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonOver 3.52.00
Public pick · WonBayer 04 Leverkusen to win867 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost0 : 317 bets
Google AIAICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
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Head to Head meetings
Lech Poznań – Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 1
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 1  |
Scored goals | 0 | 4 |
Average per game | 0 | 4 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0-4 |
Form
Lech Poznań
- 5Matches
- 8Goals
- 1.6Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- 5Matches
- 9Goals
- 1.8Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 0Draws
- 3Losses
Standings
Lech Poznań – Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Best statistical picks
Lech Poznań – Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Recent form favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches
12 hasn't lost in 3 of the last matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusen opened the score in 5 of the last 5 matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.42 |
Questions & Answers
Match betting activity
$2.1M
Betting volume4.3K
bets- Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win$1.8M1,124 bets
- Double chance: 1X$90.2K559 bets
- Under 3.5 goals$34.9K205 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Lech Poznań · 4-2-3-1
Starting lineups: 1 Mateusz Lis, 15 Michał Gurgul, 27 Wojciech Monka, 72 Mateusz Skrzypczak, 2 Joel Pereira, 43 Antoni Kozubal, 5 Gustav Berggren, 14 Leo Bengtsson, 9 Mikael Ishak, 10 Patrick Walemark, 77 Luis Palma
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4-2-3-1
Starting lineups: 1 Mark Flekken, 3 Miguel Gutiérrez, 12 Edmond Tapsoba, 5 Loic Bade, 17 Lucas Vázquez, 24 Aleix García, 6 Ignacio Fernandez, 30 Ibrahim Maza, 10 Malik Tillman, 23 Nathan Tella, 11 Martin Terrier
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen is a slight favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 66.7 vs 61.4 for Lech Poznań. The biggest edge is in overall quality (CheckSkill 68.6 vs 42.2). CheckLive signal strength 57/100.
Away win — Bayer 04 Leverkusen1.42
Medium confidence68%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
60.4
59.2
CheckSkill
42.2
68.6
CheckMental
77.4
75.4
CheckLive total61.4 vs 66.7+5.3
More match signals
Over 2.568%1.33
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (DNB)67%1.17
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (−1)50%
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonOver 3.52.00
Public pick · WonBayer 04 Leverkusen to win867 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost0 : 317 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
In the CheckLive calculation Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the favourite: 66.7 vs 61.4. Signal strength 57/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Bayer 04 Leverkusen's main edge?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen is strongest in overall quality: CheckSkill 68.6 vs 42.2 for Lech Poznań. The overall rating gap is 5.3.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-2 (Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.42 |