CheckLive's model favours Lazio for this Serie A meeting, with a strong 74% signal strength. That is a firm read but not a guarantee — Milan are more than capable of taking something, and a draw has to be respected. Both sides will be chasing the three points on offer in this league contest.
Lazio's last five games include Serie A wins at Udinese (2-1) and Bologna (1-0), plus a 1-0 home win over Genoa, along with a friendly victory at Frosinone; their only loss in that run was a home Coppa Italia reverse to Mantova (0-2). Milan's Serie A form shows a 1-1 draw at Juventus, a 2-0 home win over Venezia and a 2-1 success away to Torino, while friendlies brought a 0-3 defeat at Chelsea and a 4-2 home win over Manchester United.
Across the last eight meetings, Lazio have three wins, Milan four, with one draw. The two most recent encounters both ended 1-0 to Lazio at home. Milan have scored nine goals in their last five matches but conceded seven, so the central question is whether they can unlock a Lazio side who have shipped only four in the same period.
