It is an Ekstraklasa meeting between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia Białystok. CheckLive marginally favours the home side, giving Motor a 55% win probability with medium signal – a close contest that could easily go either way, including a draw.
Motor Lublin come into this off a 2-2 draw with Widzew Łódź in the league and four friendly wins, including a 2-0 victory over Hapoel Jerusalem, a 2-1 win against Polonia Warszawa, a 4-1 success over Warta Poznań and a 3-1 result against FC Dinamo București. Jagiellonia have been in excellent form, winning all five of their recent matches – a 1-0 league triumph against MKS Korona Kielce and friendly wins over ŁKS Łomża, FC Nordsjælland, Sparta Praha and Pafos FC.
The head‑to‑head record heavily favours Jagiellonia: from seven previous meetings, Motor Lublin have zero wins, four draws and three losses. Their last encounter, in February 2026, ended 4-1 to Jagiellonia. The key question is whether Motor can finally get on top in this fixture against a side they have never beaten.
