7.9Juan BrunettaTigres UANL · Midfielder2 goals · 3 shots · 1 key pass · 0.17 xG7.9Juan BrunettaTigres UANL · Midfielder2 goals · 3 shots · 1 key pass · 0.17 xGTigres UANL 3:2 Toluca — Match Report
First half2 - 1
- 33(Yellow card)
- 43(Yellow card)
- 45 + 4A. Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich(Red card)
Second half1 - 1
- 70J. Angulo
- 89J. Garza
- 90(Yellow card)
- 90 + 3(Yellow card)
- 90 + 3(Yellow card)
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the model pick won
CHECKLIVE · WonBoth teams to score — Yes1.62
Public pick · LostToluca to win118 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 1expected score
Public pick · Lost2 : 38 bets
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Tigres UANL – Toluca
Tigres UANL
Toluca
- 9
Victories
- 3
Draws
- 10
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  9 | 10  |
Scored goals | 35 | 34 |
Average per game | 1.59 | 1.55 |
The biggest victory | 4-1 | 0-3 |
Form
Tigres UANL
- 5Matches
- 5Goals
- 1Goal per game
- 1Wins
- 2Draws
- 2Losses
Toluca
- 5Matches
- 8Goals
- 1.6Goal per game
- 0Wins
- 4Draws
- 1Losses
Standings
Tigres UANL – Toluca
Best statistical picks
Tigres UANL – Toluca
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 5.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
Questions & Answers
Questions & Answers
Who will win, Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
CheckLive's model makes Toluca the favourite. Model signal strength is 52/100; this is not a win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Tigres UANL 3:1 Toluca.
When is Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
Kick-off Saturday 10 October at 04:00 UK time, in the Primera Division, Apertura.
Match betting activity
$148.3K
Betting volume2.3K
bets- Double chance: 1X$24.5K230 bets
- Tigres UANL to win$19.4K379 bets
- Toluca to win$16.6K268 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
◆ CheckLive verdict
Evenly matched
The teams are closely matched on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 56.2 vs 60.3, with no clear favourite. The read is built on the three metrics and the extra signals below.
Both teams to score — Yes1.62
No clear favorite62%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
54
58.2
CheckSkill
54.2
56.2
CheckMental
64.6
73.2
CheckLive total62 vs 60.3+1.7
More match signals
Over 2.558%1.70
Over 3.551%2.63
Home win — Tigres UANL50%2.82
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the model pick won
CHECKLIVE · WonBoth teams to score — Yes1.62
Public pick · LostToluca to win118 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 1expected score
Public pick · Lost2 : 38 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
CheckLive metrics show no clear favourite — the teams are level (overall rating 56.2 vs 60.3).
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-1 (Tigres UANL vs Toluca, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | 3.60 | 2.30 |