This is a J.League 2 fixture between Albirex Niigata and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo, with league points on the line. CheckLive favour the home side, giving Albirex a 57% win probability, though the signal is only medium. That leaves plenty of room for a draw or an away win.
Albirex come in with two wins from their last five, beating Ehime 2-1 and Sapporo 5-4, but they also lost to Omiya Ardija, Kagoshima United and Montedio Yamagata, the latter in a friendly. Sapporo have won their last two, 2-0 over Tokushima Vortis and 1-0 over Nagoya Grampus in a friendly, and drew 1-1 with Vissel Kobe; their two defeats came against Albirex and Blaublitz Akita.
The head-to-head record strongly favours Albirex: two wins and a draw in three meetings, including that 5-4 victory in the reverse fixture. Goals look likely given how open both teams have been, so the key is whether Sapporo can tighten up at the back.
