FC Midtjylland host HNK Rijeka in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round. CheckLive favour the home side, giving them a 61% win probability with a strong signal, but that is not a lock — an away win or a draw are both credible outcomes.
Midtjylland drew 1-1 with Lyngby, beat Bohemian 3-2 and 2-0, beat AC Horsens 2-1 and lost 0-2 to Beşiktaş. Rijeka lost 0-2 to Varaždin, drew 1-1 with Ilves, beat Ilves 1-0, beat NK Rudeš 2-1 and beat Derry City 1-0. Both sides have three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five outings.
The two clubs have never met before, with no previous head-to-head record to go on. That makes the tie harder to read, and the key thing to watch is whether Midtjylland can make their home advantage count or whether Rijeka's steady recent form keeps this level enough for a draw.
