This is an Eerste Divisie meeting between VVV-Venlo and Heracles Almelo, and CheckLive's model has no favourite — there is no win-probability edge either way. That makes it a genuinely open contest, with a draw very much a live outcome.
VVV-Venlo come into this on the back of five friendlies, losing three of them — including a 3-5 defeat to FC Viktoria Köln — but beating OH Leuven U23 2-1 and drawing 2-2 with De Treffers. Heracles Almelo have lost four of their last five, winning only a 2-1 friendly against FC Groningen; in competitive games they lost 1-2 to Groningen, 0-3 to Telstar and 0-1 to PEC Zwolle.
The head-to-head is perfectly balanced: six meetings, three wins each, no draws. Their most recent clash, back in February 2023, went to VVV-Venlo 3-1, so there is little to separate the sides. With both teams searching for form, the key is which defence holds up better.
