It's the second leg of this Champions League qualifier, with Dinamo Zagreb hosting FC Thun at the Maksimir. CheckLive's data leans towards the home side, giving them a 76% win probability with a strong signal, but this tie is far from a foregone conclusion—the first leg ended all square, so a draw here would send it to extra time or penalties.
Dinamo come into this off the back of a mixed pre-season run: they drew 1-1 with Thun in the first leg, then drew 0-0 with LNZ Cherkasy, but also recorded comfortable wins over FC Koper, Brinje Grosuplje and Kalcer Radomlje. FC Thun, meanwhile, have had an inconsistent build-up—after that 1-1 draw with Dinamo, they lost to Waldhof Mannheim, drew with SV Elversberg and Young Boys, and beat Neuchâtel Xamax.
The only head-to-head meeting between these sides is that 1-1 draw in the first leg, so there's little historical form to go on. The key will be whether Dinamo can use their home advantage to impose themselves against a Thun side that has shown they're capable of holding their own in this tie.
