This Esiliiga match pits Tallinna Kalev against FC Tallinn, with CheckLive favouring the home side at a 62% win probability. The signal is high, so the read is reasonably firm, but a draw remains a live possibility. League points are at stake in a division where recent margins have been tight.
Tallinna Kalev come in with three wins from their last five, beating Viimsi JK 2-1, FC Nõmme United U21 3-1 and Tartu JK Tammeka U19 8-0 in the Cup, either side of a 2-3 loss to FCI Levadia Tallinn U21 and a 3-3 draw with Maardu Linnameeskond. FC Tallinn have won four of their last five, with victories over Flora Tallinn U21 (1-0), Tallinna FC Zapoos (4-1), Tartu JK Welco (2-0) and FC Nõmme United U21 (4-3), plus a 0-3 defeat at FC Elva.
The head-to-head shows three previous meetings, with Tallinna Kalev winning two and drawing once; the most recent clash ended 1-1. With both sides in decent form and the last meeting level, the key thing to watch is whether Kalev can turn their edge in this fixture into a win, or whether FC Tallinn's attacking run extends the draw pattern.
