Who is the favourite in FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

In the CheckLive calculation FC Lugano is the favourite: 62.9 vs 41.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 47.5. Signal strength 70/100; it is not a win probability.

What is FC Lugano's main edge?

FC Lugano is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 81.6 vs 30.8 for FC Thun. The overall rating gap is 15.4.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 1-3 (FC Thun vs FC Lugano, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

FC Thun

25.10.2026 13:00

GOAL!2 - 3FT

FC Lugano

Player of the match

Nassim ZoukitFC Thun · Midfielder1 goal

FC Thun 2:3 FC Lugano — Match Report

First half1 - 1

34
D. Moncada
(H. Delcroix)
34
Goal confirmed (D. Moncada)
37
N. Zoukit
38
E. Pihlstrom
(Yellow card)
44
D. Kelvin
(Yellow card)

Second half1 - 2

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · both picks won

CHECKLIVE · WonAway win — FC Lugano1.76

Public pick · WonFC Lugano to win48 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 3expected score

Public pick · Lost1 : 21 bet

AICheckLive AI Bot

Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

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H2H

Head to Head meetings

FC Thun – FC Lugano

FC Thun

FC Lugano

2
Victories
0
Draws
5
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	2	5
Scored goals	11	13
Average per game	1.57	1.86
The biggest victory	4-2	2-3

Form

FC Thun

5Matches
14Goals
2.8Goal per game
1Wins
0Draws
4Losses

date	first team	second team
25.10, 13:00
25.10, 13:00	FC Thun	FC Lugano
22.10, 19:00
22.10, 19:00	FC Thun	HNK Hajduk Split
18.10, 14:00
18.10, 14:00	Schaffhausen	FC Thun
15.10, 19:00
15.10, 19:00	FC Twente	FC Thun
10.10, 16:00
10.10, 16:00	FC Zürich	FC Thun

FC Lugano

5Matches
19Goals
3.8Goal per game
5Wins
0Draws
0Losses

date	first team	second team
25.10, 13:00
25.10, 13:00	FC Thun	FC Lugano
22.10, 16:45
22.10, 16:45	Getafe	FC Lugano
18.10, 12:00
18.10, 12:00	Pully Football	FC Lugano
15.10, 16:45
15.10, 16:45	FC Lugano	FK Crvena zvezda
10.10, 16:00
10.10, 16:00	FC Lugano	FC Luzern