This LaLiga meeting sees Deportivo Alavés as CheckLive's narrow favourite at a 52% win probability, though the signal is low. With no round specified, it is a regular league fixture with both sides looking for points. The gap is marginal, so a draw is a genuine possibility.
Rayo Vallecano come in off a 1-0 draw with Sevilla in LaLiga, but their recent friendlies have been mixed: a win against Charleroi, and defeats to Ipswich Town, Feyenoord and Hearts. Alavés are in stronger shape, unbeaten in their last five with wins over Racing Santander, Castellón, Girona and Eibar alongside a 1-0 draw with Getafe.
In the head-to-head, Rayo lead with five wins to Alavés' three from eight meetings, and their last clash in May ended in a Rayo win. Given the low signal on the favourite, the key thing to watch is whether Rayo can carry that historical edge into a tight contest.
