Atletico Rojiblanco host Cumbayá FC in Serie B, with CheckLive's model making the home side strong favourites at a 75% win probability. That is a high signal, but it is not a guarantee, and a draw has to be part of the thinking given how Cumbayá have been playing.
Atletico come in with mixed form: a goalless draw with Gualaceo, a 1-0 loss at Vargas Torres, a 1-0 win over LDU Portoviejo, a 0-0 draw at CD Cuenca Juniors, and a 4-1 win against San Antonio. Cumbayá have drawn all of their last five matches, four of them 0-0 and a 3-3 against Vargas Torres, which shows they are hard to beat but also struggle to score.
The only previous meeting between these two ended 2-2 back in March, so Cumbayá have already shown they can get something from this fixture. The key question is whether Atletico can break down a side that has kept four clean sheets in five, while Cumbayá will need to offer more going forward than their recent results suggest.
