This is a Brasileiro Série A meeting with points at stake. CheckLive's model favours Corinthians at 71% win probability, a high-strength read, though that still leaves room for Chapecoense to come away with something.
Corinthians have lost league games to Santos (0-1), Coritiba (1-2) and Cruzeiro (1-2), while their win and draw came in the Libertadores against Rosario Central (1-0 and 0-0). Chapecoense beat São Paulo 1-0 and drew with Bahia 3-3, but lost to Grêmio (1-3), Coritiba (1-2) and Cruzeiro (0-2 in the Copa do Brasil).
The sides have met twice before, with Corinthians taking one win and one draw. That draw was the most recent meeting, a 0-0 in Série A in March. Chapecoense have shown they can frustrate, so despite the home side's billing as favourite, a draw is a realistic possibility.
